Influence of ENSO and volcanic eruptions on Himalayan jet latitude

Thapa, U., Stevenson, S.. (2024). Influence of ENSO and volcanic eruptions on Himalayan jet latitude. Geophysical Research Letters, doi:https://doi.org/10.1029/2023GL107271

Title Influence of ENSO and volcanic eruptions on Himalayan jet latitude
Genre Article
Author(s) Udya Thapa, S. Stevenson
Abstract The position of the subtropical jet over the Himalayas (Himalayan jet) affects extreme precipitation and heat over Central and South Asia. We examine the influence of two major natural factors-the El Ni ntilde;o/Southern Oscillation (ENSO) and explosive volcanic eruptions-on Himalayan jet interannual variability during the past millennium using simulations from the Community Earth System Model. We find that both El Ni ntilde;o events and eruptions shift the Himalayan jet equatorward by up to 3 degrees. If an El Ni ntilde;o occurs following an eruption, this enhances the equatorward Himalayan jet shift, while La Ni ntilde;a tends to favor poleward jet migration. Subtropical cooling during El Ni ntilde;o or following eruptions is the primary cause of equatorward Himalayan jet shifts, while poleward shifts are associated with subtropical warming. Consistent across the CMIP6 models over the historical period, our results suggest that both ENSO and eruptions are the key drivers of interannual Himalayan jet variability.
Publication Title Geophysical Research Letters
Publication Date Jul 28, 2024
Publisher's Version of Record https://doi.org/10.1029/2023GL107271
OpenSky Citable URL https://n2t.org/ark:/85065/d7765kmc
OpenSky Listing View on OpenSky
CPAESS Affiliations UCP, SPS

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