Antarctica Ice Mass Loss Since 2002 From Satellite Time Variable Gravity Missions.

Isabella
Velicogna
1) University of California Irvine, Irvine, CA, USA ; 2) Jet Propulsion Laboratory, Caltech, Pasadena, CA, USA
Tyler Sutterley, University of Washington, Seattle, WA, USA
Geruo A, University of California Irvine, Irvine, CA, USA
Robert Spero, Jet Propulsion Laboratory, Caltech, Pasadena, CA, USA
Athina Peidou, Jet Propulsion Laboratory, Caltech, Pasadena, CA, USA
Oral
We report on the ice mass loss from the Antarctic and Greenland Ice Sheets for 2002-2025. In Greenland, we detect a slowdown in ice mass loss since 2012 due to lower melt runoff production caused by a succession of colder summers, especially in the southwest and northeast sectors. The mass loss averages 251+/-47Gt/year for 2002-2025 with negligible acceleration. A disproportionate portion of the mass loss is driven by North Greenland which includes the two largest marine-based basins, which are most prone to rapid sea level rise.
We use Surface Mass Balance from RACMO2.4p1 to deconvolve the GRACE results.
In Antarctica the mass loss averages 101±89Gt/year with negligible acceleration. A disproportionate amount of the mass loss is controlled by the Amundsen Sea Embayment(ASE) of West Antarctica(WAIS) and to a lesser extent by the Wilkes Land sector of East Antarctica(EAIS), which are marine based with a large potential for rapid, multiple meter sea level rise. During 2019-2024, the mass loss paused, which we attribute to an increase in accumulation of snowfall in Queen Maud Land(QML), EAIS and the Antarctic Peninsula(APIS). A similar pause occurred in 2002-2007. We examine the loss in five key subregions. 1-The ASE lost 124±7Gt/yr for the entire period due to the enhanced flow of its glaciers. 2-In APIS, the mass loss averaged 26±5Gt/yr, decreasing in recent years because of more snowfall. 3-Totten, with a mass loss of 23±7Gt/yr. 4-Victoria and GeorgeVI Land, with 2±5Gt/yr. 5-QML, experienced a positive mass balance of 50±9Gt/yr. ASE/APIS/Totten contribute 2,561 Gt, 523 Gt, and 430 Gt of mass loss, respectively, which is partly compensated by a gain of 1,039 Gt in QML. In QML, snowfall increased by +25% starting in 2009 and did not return. We also analyze LRI results using present results for the Pine Island/Thwaites basins.