Metrics, Post-processing, and Products for Subseasonal to Seasonal Workshop

Agenda Track

Agenda (pdf)


Presentation Title Speaker

Day 1 - 28 February, 2018 

Opening Session 
Welcome Introduction Jessie Carmen, National ESPC
Next Generation Earth System Prediction: Strategies for S2S Forecasts Raymond Ban, National Academy of Sciences
The Weather Act/NOAA S2S Report David DeWitt
Agency Capabilities 
CPC Current Capabilities and Metrics Key Science Challenges to Imroving S2S Forecast Skill David DeWitt, NOAA/CPC
14 WS (USAF) Capabilities Lt. Col. Rob Branham, USAF Air Staff
FNMOC Current S2S Capabilities Charles Skupniewicz, Navy
NOAA MAPP Program S2S Activities Annarita Mariotti, NOAA/CPO
DOE Modeling Predicatability Interest and Activities Dorothy Koch, DOE
NASA Andrea Molod, NASA
User Needs 
Next Generation Earth System Prediction Scott Sandgathe, APL University of Washington
Regional Services; Moving into R2S for NOAA's Product Lines Ellen Mecray, NOAA/NESDIS
AF Weather Interest in S2S Climate Prediction Lt. Col. Rob Branham, USAF Air Staff
User Needs; US National Ice Center CDR Ruth Lane, NIC
DHS and FEMA Use of Weather Forecasts Michael Hurick, FEMA
Earth Observations and Diplomacy Fernando Echavarria, DoS
User Needs; The US Department of Agriculture Mark Brusberg, USDA
Improving S2S Precip Forecasting for Water Supply Management Jeanine Jones, Western States Water Council & CDWR
Transforming Risk Management with Probability Forecasts: Weeks to Season or More John Dutton, Prescient Weather LTD
S2S Weather Forecast Data Needs and Climate FieldView Ricardo Lemos, The Climate Service

Day 2 - 1 March, 2018 

Operational and Technological Solutions 
Day 2 Introduction and Review of Goals Jessie Carmen, National ESPC
Potential Operational Cabapility for S2S Prediction Yuejian Zhu, NOAA/EMC
FNMOC Future S2S Capabilities Charles Skupniewicz, Navy
Developments Needed to Generate High-quality S2S Products through Statistical Postprocessing Tom Hamill, NOAA/ESRL
S2S Technological Improvement: Issues to Consider Ben Kirtman, University of Miami
Weather to Decadal tiemscales: Enhancing Modeling for Predictions  V. Ramaswamy, NOAA/GFDL
SubX Dan Barrie, NOAA/CPO
NASA GMAO GEOS S2S Prediction System Robin Kovach, NASA
S2S Opportunities 
Research Opportunities for Advancing S2S Forecast Chidong Zhang, NOAA/PMEL
S2S Research Opportunities Annarita Mariotti
Reliability and Potential Metrics for Impact Events 
Short-term Climate Extremes; Probabilistic Forecasts from a Multi-model Ensemble Emily Becker
S2S Verification Topics at the NOAA Environmental Modeling Center Jason Levit, NOAA/EMC
Metrics for S2S: Examples from The Subseasonal Experiment Kathy Pegion, George Mason University
Multi-Model Ensembles in MWS Climate Prediction Center Subseasonal to Seasonal Forecasts Dan Collins, Climate Prediction Center
Convectively Coupled Equatorial Waves and the MJO in Subseasonal Forecasts Matthew Janiga, NRL-MRY
S2S VerificationApproaches: The Challenges to Provide Meaningful Information Barbara Brown, NCAR
Predictability, Sensitivity, and Value Caren Marzban, University of Washington
S2S Metrics Issues Ben Kirtman, University of Miami