Breadcrumb Home Metrics, Post-processing, and Products for Subseasonal to Seasonal Workshop Agenda Track Agenda (pdf) Presentations Presentation Title Speaker Day 1 - 28 February, 2018 Opening Session Welcome Introduction Jessie Carmen, National ESPC Next Generation Earth System Prediction: Strategies for S2S Forecasts Raymond Ban, National Academy of Sciences The Weather Act/NOAA S2S Report David DeWitt Agency Capabilities CPC Current Capabilities and Metrics Key Science Challenges to Imroving S2S Forecast Skill David DeWitt, NOAA/CPC 14 WS (USAF) Capabilities Lt. Col. Rob Branham, USAF Air Staff FNMOC Current S2S Capabilities Charles Skupniewicz, Navy NOAA MAPP Program S2S Activities Annarita Mariotti, NOAA/CPO DOE Modeling Predicatability Interest and Activities Dorothy Koch, DOE NASA Andrea Molod, NASA User Needs Next Generation Earth System Prediction Scott Sandgathe, APL University of Washington Regional Services; Moving into R2S for NOAA's Product Lines Ellen Mecray, NOAA/NESDIS AF Weather Interest in S2S Climate Prediction Lt. Col. Rob Branham, USAF Air Staff User Needs; US National Ice Center CDR Ruth Lane, NIC DHS and FEMA Use of Weather Forecasts Michael Hurick, FEMA Earth Observations and Diplomacy Fernando Echavarria, DoS User Needs; The US Department of Agriculture Mark Brusberg, USDA Improving S2S Precip Forecasting for Water Supply Management Jeanine Jones, Western States Water Council & CDWR Transforming Risk Management with Probability Forecasts: Weeks to Season or More John Dutton, Prescient Weather LTD S2S Weather Forecast Data Needs and Climate FieldView Ricardo Lemos, The Climate Service Day 2 - 1 March, 2018 Operational and Technological Solutions Day 2 Introduction and Review of Goals Jessie Carmen, National ESPC Potential Operational Cabapility for S2S Prediction Yuejian Zhu, NOAA/EMC FNMOC Future S2S Capabilities Charles Skupniewicz, Navy Developments Needed to Generate High-quality S2S Products through Statistical Postprocessing Tom Hamill, NOAA/ESRL S2S Technological Improvement: Issues to Consider Ben Kirtman, University of Miami Weather to Decadal tiemscales: Enhancing Modeling for Predictions V. Ramaswamy, NOAA/GFDL SubX Dan Barrie, NOAA/CPO NASA GMAO GEOS S2S Prediction System Robin Kovach, NASA S2S Opportunities Research Opportunities for Advancing S2S Forecast Chidong Zhang, NOAA/PMEL S2S Research Opportunities Annarita Mariotti Reliability and Potential Metrics for Impact Events Short-term Climate Extremes; Probabilistic Forecasts from a Multi-model Ensemble Emily Becker S2S Verification Topics at the NOAA Environmental Modeling Center Jason Levit, NOAA/EMC Metrics for S2S: Examples from The Subseasonal Experiment Kathy Pegion, George Mason University Multi-Model Ensembles in MWS Climate Prediction Center Subseasonal to Seasonal Forecasts Dan Collins, Climate Prediction Center Convectively Coupled Equatorial Waves and the MJO in Subseasonal Forecasts Matthew Janiga, NRL-MRY S2S VerificationApproaches: The Challenges to Provide Meaningful Information Barbara Brown, NCAR Predictability, Sensitivity, and Value Caren Marzban, University of Washington S2S Metrics Issues Ben Kirtman, University of Miami